Jan Blachowicz and Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza are both former mixed martial arts champions, but neither has held a belt in the UFC. The veteran fighters hope to take a step toward changing that when they meet on Saturday in the main event of UFC Fight Night 164 in Sao Paulo, Brazil. The 12-bout UFC stop features the main UFC Fight Night 164 card starting at 8 p.m. ET. Souza (26-7), who is from Brazil, is ranked No. 8 in the middleweight division, but the former Strikeforce champ is moving up to face Blachowicz (24-8) at light heavyweight. Blachowicz once held the KSW light heavyweight championship and is hoping to improve his standing for a UFC title shot against champion Jon Jones. Blachowicz is a -190 favorite (risk $190 to win $100), while Souza is a +165 underdog in the latest Blachowicz vs. Jacare odds. In the co-main event of UFC Sao Paulo, Mauricio Rua (-270) faces Paul Craig (+230) in a light heavyweight bout. Before making any UFC Fight Night 164 picks, make sure you hear what SportsLine MMA analyst Kyle Marley has to say.

Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and is in contention to win this year’s contest. He also appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and UFC DFS shows. Over the past year, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks are up nearly $19,000.

Just last week at UFC Fight Night 163, Marley accurately predicted that Zabit Magomedsharipov (-300) would use his well-rounded skill set to get a decision victory against the rugged Calvin Kattar (+250) in their featherweight bout in the main event.

At UFC 244, Marley told SportsLine members that Jorge “Gamebred” Masvidal (-140) would defeat Nate Diaz in a welterweight clash for the “BMF” title. He said that Masvidal’s boxing skills and power would be too much for Diaz, and he predicted a stoppage win for Masvidal. He was proven correct when the fight was waved off after the third round because of the damage Diaz had taken. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, with UFC Fight Night 164 fast approaching, Marley has carefully studied every matchup on the card, identified the best value in the UFC odds and released his MMA picks for every single fight. Head to SportsLine right now to see them. 

Marley knows the 39-year-old Souza could be headed toward the end of his decorated career, which includes the Strikeforce and Dream middleweight championships. He is 9-4 in the UFC, where he has received seven post-fight performance awards since his debut with the promotion in 2013.

He recent bouts include losses to former middleweight champion Robert Whittaker and interim title challenger Kelvin Gastelum. The Brazilian jiu-jitsu specialist defeated former middleweight champ Chris Weidman last November before suffering a decision loss to Jack Hermansson in April.

He’s stepping up in weight class to take on a rising contender in Blachowicz, 36, who has seen his stock rise following multiple strong outings. He is coming off a knockout of former middleweight title-holder Luke Rockhold at UFC 239 in July. You can get all of Marley’s Blachowicz vs. Jacare picks at SportsLine.

We’ll share one of Marley’s UFC Fight Night 164 predictions here: He is backing James Krause (-185) to get his hand raised against Sergio Moraes (+160) as the welterweights meet in the featured preliminary bout. 

Krause (26-7) is a six-year UFC veteran whose experience includes a decision loss to budding star Jorge Masvidal in 2014. His own stock is on the rise following five consecutive victories, the latest of which was a technical knockout of Warlley Alves in August 2018. On the other side of the octagon, Moraes (14-5-1) is seeking to stop a two-bout losing streak that includes a stoppage defeat to Alves in May at UFC 237. His last win was a submission of Ben Saunders in September 2018.

“Krause is going to be the much better striker and will land at a higher pace,” Marley told SportsLine. “Krause is going to pick Moraes apart on the feet, and he can win at least two rounds by stuffing takedowns and keeping this fight standing.”

Marley has also locked in strong picks for Jacare vs. Blachowicz, Craig vs. Rua, and every other bout on the UFC Brazil card.

Who wins Souza vs. Blachowicz? And how exactly does each fight at UFC Fight Night 164 end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC Fight Night 164, all from the expert who’s up nearly $19,000 on MMA in the past year, and find out.