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Home > Boxing > UFC 245 odds, predictions: MMA insider picks Usman vs. Covington, Holloway vs. Volkanovski

UFC 245 odds, predictions: MMA insider picks Usman vs. Covington, Holloway vs. Volkanovski

Three world-title fights top a stacked card on Saturday at UFC 245 in Las Vegas. The 13-bout event from T-Mobile Arena features the main UFC 245 fight card starting at 10 p.m. ET, with the preliminary bouts at 8 p.m. ET. In the main event, welterweight champ Kamaru Usman makes his first title defense against second-ranked challenger Colby Covington. Usman (15-1) won the title with a unanimous decision against former champ Tyron Woodley in March. Covington (14-1), the former interim champ, positioned himself for a title shot with a dominant win over Robbie Lawler in August.

Usman is a -175 favorite (risk $175 to win $100), while Covington is priced at +155 in the latest Usman vs. Covington odds. In the co-main event of UFC Las Vegas, featherweight champ Max Holloway (-170) takes on top-rated challenger Alexander Volkanovski (+150). Before making any UFC 245 picks of your own, check out what SportsLine MMA analyst Kyle Marley has to say

Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and is in contention to win this year’s contest. He also appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and DFS shows. Over the past year, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks are up more than $19,000. 

Last week at UFC on ESPN 7, Marley told SportsLine members that Ben Rothwell (-140) would stop Stefan Struve (+120) in a battle of veteran heavyweights. Rothwell delivered with a second-round submission to give Marley’s followers another winner. What’s more, at the much-anticipated UFC 244 card, Marley accurately predicted that Jorge Masvidal (-140) would defeat Nate Diaz (+120) in a welterweight clash for the “BMF” title. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

With UFC 245 fast approaching, Marley has carefully studied every matchup on the card, identified the best value in the UFC odds and released his MMA picks for every single fight. He’s sharing those selections only over at SportsLine

Marley knows the UFC 245 main event should serve as a backdrop for Usman and Covington to settle a beef that appears to be anything but an orchestrated conflict for marketing purposes. The fighters had a backstage scuffle at UFC 223 and another confrontation at a Las Vegas casino buffet following UFC 235 after Usman became the champion. 

The 32-year-old Usman is generally regarded as a well-spoken, humble fighter who is usually respectful toward his opponents. He became the first African champion in the promotion’s history when he dominated Woodley in a five-round decision. But Usman has been unable to avoid a war of words and blows with Covington, who appears to be succeeding in his quest to become the biggest heel in UFC history.

The fighters have similar, wrestling-based styles that are aided by opportunistic strikes and super-human endurance. Marley can help you make the top Usman vs. Covington picks for Saturday’s mega-fight.

We’ll reveal one of Marley’s UFC 245 predictions here: He is backing Marlon Moraes (-200) to defeat Jose Aldo (+170) in a bantamweight bout on the main card. Moraes (22-6-1) is coming off a loss to Henry Cejudo in June for the vacant bantamweight title. He had won his four previous bouts and remains the division’s top-ranked contender. Aldo (28-5) is the former long-reigning featherweight champ who is moving down to bantamweight for the first time following losses in three of his past five bouts. 

“Aldo is live if his chin holds up and it could be a close decision if it takes place on the feet. But I believe he’ll get knocked out at his new weight class,” Marley told SportsLine.

Marley also has strong picks for Usman vs. Covington, Volkanovski vs. Holloway and every other bout on the UFC 245 card. You need to see them before locking in any UFC picks of your own.

Who wins Usman vs. Covington? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC 245, all from the expert who’s up more than $19,000 on MMA in the past year, and find out. 

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